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those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very dierently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody thinks they're going to be close. the
those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily...
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Nov 2, 2012
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odd and interesting about this is the three states with the worst unemployment levels, california, nevada and new jersey are solidly democratic. the whole republican argument that this administration has made things worse clearly is not working in those states where things are, in fact, the worst. in other states like nebraska, kansas, north dakota where there's extremely low employment because of shale gas and agriculture, republicans are winning. it's an interesting dynamic in the election in that respect. the real challenge for any new administrati administration, whether it's president obama or governor romney, is we treat it as a national problem and we have huge varieties between states and education levels and gender. >> let's talk about the psyc psychology of it. are people looking at the numbers and measures how they feel? whatever the case, they're measures how they feel at their home right now. >> absolutely. it's a good media story to talk about the number that changes month to month. oh, my god the unemployment rate is 7.9%. do i have a job that pays enough? do i have several
odd and interesting about this is the three states with the worst unemployment levels, california, nevada and new jersey are solidly democratic. the whole republican argument that this administration has made things worse clearly is not working in those states where things are, in fact, the worst. in other states like nebraska, kansas, north dakota where there's extremely low employment because of shale gas and agriculture, republicans are winning. it's an interesting dynamic in the election in...
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and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19 million. romney ahead by 7% in new york. some of the key swing states the president in the lead. >> right. >> bill: former penn state president graham spanier. >> spanier. >> bill: he is a weasel, right? >> certainly seems so. >> bill: looks that way. he had indications that sandusky was molesting children on the campus of penn state. >> um-huh. >> bill: he did nothing. and now he is charged with? >> perjury, endangering will the welfare of children. conspiracy. failure to report child abuse. this guy spanier in position of power, obviously the president of the university. his story was some dust up with sandusky but i
and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19...
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Nov 2, 2012
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i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you tell -- because usually the rallies are speaking to the group. they are not having a profound amount of intersection because you are busy going somewhere else. but is it the same? >> you do. if you work the rope line or you get to talk to people on the ground, they will tell you, there are concerns about the economy and jobs, that's very real. there is a profound sense that the election is a choice between two very different types of people. where the government will increasingly become more dominant or a new future, where we reim-- embrace the free enterprise system and allow the
i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you...
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there have been reports in colorado and also earlier in nevada of people also tearing up voter registration forms if you didn't register republican. you also have people coming up to individuals who are trying to do early vote asking them for their i.d. even though they have no right to ask them for their i.d. there have been reports of people filming people going in and out of polling locations. we have heard some stories about both during the voting reg strak process and we're hearing it's going to happen again on election day of intentionally starting fights, intentionally creating a ruckus so if you get there and the line is long and there's a fight going on, you know, anything they can do to make it harder for to you stand there and vote. >> from your perspective, how does an he will telderly persons up without formal photo i.d. copes when a young person who appears to be professional approaches them and starts asking them questions about i.d.? >> that's part of why the democrats we call our folks who go to the polls vote protectors and the republicans call their folks vote challengers
there have been reports in colorado and also earlier in nevada of people also tearing up voter registration forms if you didn't register republican. you also have people coming up to individuals who are trying to do early vote asking them for their i.d. even though they have no right to ask them for their i.d. there have been reports of people filming people going in and out of polling locations. we have heard some stories about both during the voting reg strak process and we're hearing it's...
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you look at nevada, for example. 11.8% unemployment. look at colorado. it has 8% unemployment. you look at some of the other swing states where the unemployment rate has been drifting lower. ohio, for example, a very big, important state on tuesday. 7% unemployment. and when you look at ohio's jobless rate you can see that it has been coming down a little bit, and the polls, john weigh in on the polls, the polls are so interesting because the most recent poll that we have the cnn/orc poll, shows obama with a little bit of a lead over romney. >> most of the polls in ohio show consistently the president between two and four points. ohio is interesting. the unemployment there below the rest of the country. so the economic argument in ohio hasn't been about good economy/bad economy. they kind of microtargeted which is why the romney campaign focused on the issue of coal for instance. hitting the issue of coal hard. >> and the microtargeting is so interesting because every state is different. it has a different economic fingerprint, if you will. if you look at florida, where housing
you look at nevada, for example. 11.8% unemployment. look at colorado. it has 8% unemployment. you look at some of the other swing states where the unemployment rate has been drifting lower. ohio, for example, a very big, important state on tuesday. 7% unemployment. and when you look at ohio's jobless rate you can see that it has been coming down a little bit, and the polls, john weigh in on the polls, the polls are so interesting because the most recent poll that we have the cnn/orc poll,...
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Nov 2, 2012
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they realize that if they carry ohio, wisconsin, nevada, that mitt romney cannot get to 270 electoral votes without taking a very, very unlikely state away. so this is a very important place, just as ohio is important to president obama, and the closing argument that mitt romney is making is the one that has been his go-to for the entire year, which is look at the record, look at what barack obama said he was going to do, look at what he's done while the president is trying to make a recovery case, we're on the right track, the mitt romney argument is we haven't gotten where we need to go and he's going to be making that all weekend. >> people on the floor trying to look at the effect of the storm and the recovery on tuesday. is it possible that because in the northeast states that are normally blue, have lower turnout, the president actually does win on the electoral vote but the governor wins on the popular vote? >> reporter: that is possible. it's very -- you have to say it's very unlikely by looking at history at how few times that's happened. but we have an extremely close popula
they realize that if they carry ohio, wisconsin, nevada, that mitt romney cannot get to 270 electoral votes without taking a very, very unlikely state away. so this is a very important place, just as ohio is important to president obama, and the closing argument that mitt romney is making is the one that has been his go-to for the entire year, which is look at the record, look at what barack obama said he was going to do, look at what he's done while the president is trying to make a recovery...